With some profit taking since the start of the Trump rally, should investor dig into their pockets and start to buy the Trump rally?
That is a good question, but here are 3 reasons you should consider the Trump rally.
1) Transition away from bricks and mortar.
Once Trump is in office, he will need to back himself up. But a lot of very positive things have happened since Donald Trump has stepped up and won the elections. CEO confidence is back, investor confidence has come back. Plus the fact with bricks and mortar businesses, deregulation is going to be a big event in 2017 and that will only strengthen the confidence in the average investor out there. The last 8 years has seen the biggest regulation burdens on businesses and the stock market in the last 50 years.
2) Stick with what is working.
The average investor has seen the Trump rally, and now knows its key to stick to areas that keep working. So once you take a bigger picture view in terms of where the extreme value is. The quality spread for the market is at all-time highs, and that would make it a very bullish scenario for small cap stocks. So what we have been seeing is sticking to what has been working last year in 2016.
There is influx of new monies coming in to buy the ENERGY sectors, and also the FINANCIALS as they have been said to be very good under a Trump administration. Some are suggesting these are overbought, however, some smart brokers on Wall St are now telling their clients to own more banks and more energy.
Expectations are super elevated right now, and the idea of fiscal spending under a Trump administration might be enough to put many companies into quicker solid earnings. Even if valuation is a continuing concern, you cannot say the market is cheap anymore. But the opportunity is looking at margins, and the way margins work.
So if you are, tune your thinking into who has margins, and that do not have a lot of sensitivity. Those are going to be the companies you want to invest in the coming 12 to 24 months. These could include banks and energy. And there are always ways to find opportunities in the current market environment.
3) What could derail the Trump Rally?
Even though the market is at all time highs, there are still things to worry about in 2017. We just have to think back to 2016. Remember a 4% pullback in the markets midyear last year, made people throw up their hands, and want to leave the business. That really is not a big move in terms of an overbought bull market move. So we have to remember with Trump and his policies not all of them will get through, and if that causes some large ripples in the market, rather larger, not just a few ripples in a small pond.